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Re: Draft pick 5-7 waste of time

By Qwex
6/14/2016 11:14 am
A. Brown of Steelers is one of the Best WR in the NFL, and is a six round pick.

In this game round pick 5,6,7 is just **** players. Is a waste of time of course late free agent also.

Do you wast to draft a CB whit 5 speed 20 acc and 80 strenght. This is not look lire a ncaa players, is more mutant.

I thing player from each position should have basic quality, lire for CB and WR speed and acc never less 60.
DT strenght never less 70.

A least look lire real player whit the posibility to become a good player
Last edited at 6/14/2016 11:16 am

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By jdavidbakr - Site Admin
6/14/2016 11:19 am
http://blog.myfootballnow.com/2014/06/creepers-and-busts-dont-throw-away-your.html

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By jrt3177
6/14/2016 11:25 am
jdavidbakr wrote:
http://blog.myfootballnow.com/2014/06/creepers-and-busts-dont-throw-away-your.html


Not sure if it's just me, but I struggle comprehending this blurb from the article.

"The further away the future value is from the current value, the less certain a player's future value is. So when you draft a player with a rating of 30/90, they most likely will arrive at 90/90 in the peak of their career."

Wouldn't it be the opposite? Wouldn't he be less likely to reach his 90/90 peak because his current is so low? I would think a 45/90 player would have a better chance of maxing out.

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By Qwex
6/14/2016 11:25 am
jdavidbakr wrote:
http://blog.myfootballnow.com/2014/06/creepers-and-busts-dont-throw-away-your.html


But a CB whit speed 5-25 a don't wand this players even if is zone come 99.

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By jdavidbakr - Site Admin
6/14/2016 11:33 am
jrt3177 wrote:
jdavidbakr wrote:
http://blog.myfootballnow.com/2014/06/creepers-and-busts-dont-throw-away-your.html


Not sure if it's just me, but I struggle comprehending this blurb from the article.

"The further away the future value is from the current value, the less certain a player's future value is. So when you draft a player with a rating of 30/90, they most likely will arrive at 90/90 in the peak of their career."

Wouldn't it be the opposite? Wouldn't he be less likely to reach his 90/90 peak because his current is so low? I would think a 45/90 player would have a better chance of maxing out.


Depending on the volatility of the player, the 90 may go up or it may go down, although it is -most likely- going to stay around 90. The greater the difference between current and future, the more the future can move, up or down. The 'current' will not go down unless the player is unemployed.

I wonder if I meant 'most likely will not arrive at 90/90'...
Last edited at 6/14/2016 11:33 am

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By Tecra031
6/14/2016 11:40 am
You can find some some potential talent late, but don't expect a lot of Tom Brady's to appear. To JDB's point....

Here is my year 4 RG. Drafted with the last pick of the 5th round, 5.32. He has gone +22/+15 since then. He was a 53/63 and is now a 75/78 and is +3/+2 this season as well.... https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/9970

Here is another...my 2nd year LDE drafted 5.19 and dropped after his 1st season, was acquired through F/A...was 25/55, has gone +21/+8...46/63 now.... https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/10619

My starting DT...drafted 5.13 by another team. 8 year vet was rated 35/60....has gone +46+21...now an 81/81 DT,.. https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/8361

If you have some patience and roster depth to wait a little for development, you can certainly find some cheap gems.

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By TAFIV
6/14/2016 11:41 am
it is the opposite, you forgot the word not in your quote, here's the actual quote copy & pasted

"The future values are not static, in fact they can vary considerably, until the current value catches up to it. The further away the future value is from the current value, the less certain a player's future value is. So when you draft a player with a rating of 30/90, they most likely will not arrive at 90/90 in the peak of their career."
Last edited at 6/14/2016 11:45 am

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By jdavidbakr - Site Admin
6/14/2016 11:53 am
TAFIV wrote:
it is the opposite, you forgot the word not in your quote, here's the actual quote copy & pasted

"The future values are not static, in fact they can vary considerably, until the current value catches up to it. The further away the future value is from the current value, the less certain a player's future value is. So when you draft a player with a rating of 30/90, they most likely will not arrive at 90/90 in the peak of their career."


I just changed it :)

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By jrt3177
6/14/2016 12:04 pm
jdavidbakr wrote:
TAFIV wrote:
it is the opposite, you forgot the word not in your quote, here's the actual quote copy & pasted

"The future values are not static, in fact they can vary considerably, until the current value catches up to it. The further away the future value is from the current value, the less certain a player's future value is. So when you draft a player with a rating of 30/90, they most likely will not arrive at 90/90 in the peak of their career."


I just changed it :)


Thank you. I've read that quote a couple times trying to figure out if I was missing something. Much clearer now.

Re: Draft pick 5-7 wast of time

By Qwex
6/14/2016 12:20 pm
Tecra031 wrote:
You can find some some potential talent late, but don't expect a lot of Tom Brady's to appear. To JDB's point....

Here is my year 4 RG. Drafted with the last pick of the 5th round, 5.32. He has gone +22/+15 since then. He was a 53/63 and is now a 75/78 and is +3/+2 this season as well.... https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/9970

Here is another...my 2nd year LDE drafted 5.19 and dropped after his 1st season, was acquired through F/A...was 25/55, has gone +21/+8...46/63 now.... https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/10619

My starting DT...drafted 5.13 by another team. 8 year vet was rated 35/60....has gone +46+21...now an 81/81 DT,.. https://mfn1.myfootballnow.com/player/8361

If you have some patience and roster depth to wait a little for development, you can certainly find some cheap gems.


Is not like that in all league. When all players take care of Is draft pick 1-4, afther maybe 15 in round 5 you don' t any good potentiel players.